BMC Infectious Diseases
○ Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Preprints posted in the last 90 days, ranked by how well they match BMC Infectious Diseases's content profile, based on 118 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.15% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Janrode, N.; HAMADA, Y.; Taliep, A.; Barron, L.; Chabaya, W.; Goliath, R. T.; Duong, T.; Jackson, A.; Galant, S.; Omar-Davies, N.; Sai, L. L.; Twentiey, L.; Wilkinson, R. J.; Rangaka, M. X.
Show abstract
BackgroundSystematic screening for tuberculosis (TB) is recommended in people with diabetes; however, data on the accuracy of screening tools in this population are lacking. We assessed the accuracy of symptom and chest X-ray screening among people with diabetes. MethodsWe consecutively enrolled adults with diabetes attending routine care in South Africa. All participants underwent symptom screening and chest X-ray. A single sputum specimen was collected from all participants and tested by Xpert Ultra. A positive Xpert Ultra result was used as the reference standard. ResultsWe enrolled 673 participants. The median age was 54 years (interquartile range 47-60 years), and 63.8% were female. HIV prevalence was 17.2%. Prevalent TB was diagnosed in nine participants (1.33%). Any cough had a sensitivity of 22.2% (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.1-60.0%) and a specificity of 97.5% (95%CI 96.0-98.6%). Expanding the symptom definition to include any of cough, fever, weight loss, or night sweats did not improve sensitivity (22.2 %, 95 % CI 2.1-60.0) and slightly reduced specificity to 96.0 % (95 % CI 94.2-97.0). Chest X-ray abnormalities suggestive of TB demonstrated a sensitivity of 55.6% (95%CI 21.2-86.3%) and a specificity of 95.4% (95%CI 93.4-97.0%). The specificity of chest X-ray was significantly lower in participants with prior TB (87.6%, 95% CI: 79.8-90.6%), compared to 97.2% (95% CI: 95.2-98.5%) in those without (p < 0.01). ConclusionSymptom-based TB screening has poor sensitivity in people with diabetes. Although chest X-ray improved the sensitivity, it remained suboptimal, with a reduced specificity in people with previous TB.
Koyra, A. B.; Mohammed, F.; Eshete, T.
Show abstract
BackgroundFamily-based HIV index case testing identifies family members with unknown HIV status and links them to care. Data are limited in southern Ethiopia. MethodsA facility-based cross-sectional study was conducted among 377 adults on antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Wolaita Zone, Southern Ethiopia, from November 2022 to May 2023. Participants were selected using systematic random sampling. Data were collected via interviewer-administered semi-structured questionnaire. Multivariable logistic regression identified factors associated with index case family testing. Adjusted odds ratios (AOR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated, and statistical significance was declared at p < 0.05. ResultsThe proportion of index case family testing for HIV was 84.9% (95% CI: 81.2- 88.6). In multivariable analysis, urban residence (AOR = 2.8; 95% CI: 1.16-6.75), duration on ART greater than 12 months (AOR = 13.0; 95% CI: 4.6-36.9), disclosure of HIV status to family members (AOR = 5.6; 95% CI: 1.9-16.5), discussion of HIV status with family members (AOR = 6.6; 95% CI: 1.9-23.2), and being counselled by health professionals to bring families for testing (AOR = 6.3; 95% CI: 2.1-19.0) were significantly associated with index case family testing. ConclusionThe prevalence of family-based HIV index case testing in Wolaita Zone was 84.9%, below the national 95% target. Health professionals should strengthen counselling on ART adherence, status disclosure, family discussion, and active referral to improve testing uptake among family members of people living with HIV.
Hu, F.; Wei, J.; Muller-Pebody, B.; Hope, R.; Brown, C.; Carreira, H.; Demirjian, A.; Walker, A. S.; Eyre, D. W.
Show abstract
ObjectivesTo identifiy risk factors for antimicrobial resistance (AMR) in seven pathogen-antimicrobial combinations in patients with cancer and cancer survivors. MethodsUsing data from patients with recent or past cancer diagnostic codes in Oxfordshire, UK, we examined associations between 22 potential risk-factors and AMR in blood culture isolates, collected between 1-April-2015 and 31-March-2025. ResultsAmong 5,975 bacteraemias in 4,365 adults, we analysed 3,141 (52.6%) due to Enterobacterales and 620 (10.4%) due to Enterococcus faecalis/faecium in 2,752 patients. Fourteen risk-factors for antimicrobial-resistant bacteraemia were identified, varying across pathogen-antimicrobial combinations. Compared with no previous antimicrobial susceptibility test result, prior resistance to the same antibiotic in any culture in the last year was strongly associated with AMR across all pathogen-antimicrobial combinations (all p[≤]0.001). Prior antibiotic exposure and younger age were also positively associated with AMR in four and five combinations, respectively. Cancer type showed modest effects; lymphoid/haematopoietic malignancies were associated with higher odds (vs colorectal cancer) of trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole-resistant Enterobacterales (aOR=2.07 95%CI 1.40-3.06) and vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus bacteraemia (aOR=6.68, 1.21-36.91). ConclusionsPrevious resistance was the greatest risk factor for bacteraemia with AMR in cancer patients and survivors, with prior antibiotic exposure and age also contributing. Lymphoid/haematopoietic malignancies increased risk of resistance to specific antimicrobials. Keywords: antimicrobial resistance, bacteraemia, cancer, risk factors
Abal, A.; Apako, J.; Hurberd, Y.; Flipse, J.; Bastiaens, G.; Schaftenaar, E.
Show abstract
ObjectivesTo evaluate whether on-site molecular point-of-care testing (POCT) for Chlamydia trachomatis (CT) and Neisseria gonorrhoeae (NG) is associated with reduced antibiotic overtreatment for presumed sexually transmitted infections (STIs) among adults living with HIV in rural Uganda. MethodsWe conducted a single-site quasi-experimental pre-post intervention study at Kumi Hospital, comparing syndromic management (April-August 2024) with CT/NG POCT-guided management (September 2024-January 2025). Adults living with HIV presenting with symptoms suggestive of an STI were included. Overtreatment in the pre-intervention phase was estimated by comparing antibiotic prescribing with the expected number of CT/NG infections based on positivity observed during the intervention phase. ResultsA total of 404 participants were included (203 pre-intervention, 201 intervention). During the intervention phase, CT and/or NG were detected in 14 individuals (7.0%). Median test turnaround time was 95 minutes, enabling same-day treatment in 93% of positive cases. Antibiotic prescribing decreased from 99.0% to 11.4% following POCT implementation (P < 0.001), corresponding to an absolute reduction of 87.6 percentage points. Estimated overtreatment declined from 30.0% to 5.0% for NG and from 74.9% to 6.0% for CT (both P < 0.001). ConclusionsImplementation of CT/NG POCT in routine HIV care was associated with a marked reduction in antibiotic prescribing and estimated overtreatment for presumed STIs. These findings support the potential of POCT-guided, aetiology-based STI management to reduce unnecessary antimicrobial exposure in settings where syndromic management remains standard practice.
Sakyi, E.; Molebatsi, K.; Modongo, C.; Shin, S. S.
Show abstract
BackgroundDelayed tuberculosis (TB) treatment remains a major challenge to TB control and is associated with increased mortality, drug resistance, and onward transmission. Food insecurity may contribute to delayed TB treatment through economic, physical, and psychosocial pathways. Depression and anxiety are also associated with delayed TB treatment and may mediate the relationship between food insecurity and delayed TB treatment. This study examined the association between food insecurity and delayed TB treatment initiation and assessed the mediation roles of depression and anxiety for this relationship among people newly diagnosed with TB. MethodsWe recruited 180 participants newly diagnosed with TB in Gaborone, Botswana. Food insecurity, depression, and anxiety were measured using the Household Food Insecurity Access Scale, PHQ-9, and Zung Self-Rating Anxiety Scale, respectively. Delayed TB treatment was defined as > 2 months since first TB symptoms. Logistic regression was used to examine the association between food insecurity and delayed TB treatment. Causal mediation analysis was conducted to assess the mediating roles of depression and anxiety. ResultsAmong the 180 participants, 45 (25%) experienced delayed TB treatment initiation. Participants with delayed TB treatment had slightly higher median scores for food insecurity (2 vs. 1, p = 0.11), depression (9 vs. 6, p = 0.001), and anxiety (37 vs. 34, p = 0.05). There was insufficient evidence of an overall association between food insecurity and delayed TB treatment initiation (OR = 1.04, 95% CI 0.98-1.11, p = 0.20). Mediation analysis found insufficient evidence of total and direct effects through depression and anxiety. However, there was evidence of significant indirect effect through depression (OR = 1.04, 95% CI 1.01-1.08, p < 0.001) and a borderline indirect effect through anxiety (OR = 1.02, 95% CI 1.00-1.04, p = 0.05). ConclusionMediation analysis revealed associations between food insecurity and delayed TB treatment initiation mediated by depression and anxiety which were not evident in total effects analysis. These findings highlight the importance of considering both socioeconomic and psychological factors in addressing delayed TB treatment. Further studies are needed to confirm these pathways.
MWABU, A. K.; Mutai, W. C.; Jaoko, W.; Mwaniki, J. N.; kiiru, J. N.
Show abstract
Introduction: Antibiotic misuse is a major driver of antimicrobial resistance (AMR), contributing to an estimated 1.27 million deaths globally. In Kenya, inappropriate antibiotic use is shaped by health-seeking behaviors and sociodemographic factors. However, little is known about how adults with productive coughs seek and use antibiotics, or how sociodemographic factors underpin these practices. This study explored antibiotic-seeking pathways, usage patterns, and the sociodemographic factors influencing these practices among adults with productive coughs attending selected chest and tuberculosis clinics in Nairobi County, Kenya. Methodology: A facility-based cross-sectional study was conducted among 400 adults ([≥]18 years) with productive coughs. Data were collected using a structured questionnaire on sociodemographic characteristics, antibiotic-seeking pathways, and use patterns. Results: Most participants were male (65.0%) and employed (67.0%), with 68.3% earning below Ksh 10,000 (approximately USD 80) monthly and 35.8% having basic education. A history of smoking (37.3%), tuberculosis (32.0%), or other comorbidities (29.8%) was common. Among 347 (86.7%) antibiotic users, 46.4% obtained antibiotics through general practitioners (GP) only, 31.4% via both GP and over-the-counter (OTC) sources, 15.3% from OTC only, and 6.9% through self-medication. Females were more likely to self-medicate (13.3% vs. 3.2%) and had higher odds of antibiotic use (cOR: 2.00; 95% CI: 1.04-4.10). Tuberculosis history was linked to greater GP reliance (61.7% vs. 37.4%). Low-income participants mainly used GP-only sources, while higher-income earners favored GP plus OTC routes (RRR: 2.67; 95% CI: 1.41-5.05). Empirical use was common (71.1%), dominated by Amoxicillin (90.8%), with multiple antibiotic use reported by 67.2% of the participants. Conclusion: Antibiotic use among adults with productive coughs in Nairobi was widespread and largely empirical, dominated by Amoxicillin and Amoxicillin/Clavulanic acid. Self-medication, unregulated antibiotic access, and inappropriate use highlight the urgent need for stricter prescription enforcement and strengthened stewardship programs to promote rational antibiotic use and curb AMR.
Dani, H. A.; Njau, P.; Sangeda, R. Z.
Show abstract
BackgroundDolutegravir (DTG)-based regimens are currently the preferred first-line therapy in many HIV programs; however, the influence of baseline advanced HIV disease (AHD) on virologic outcomes in routine national data in the DTG era remains unclear. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective cohort analysis using routinely collected data from Tanzanias National AIDS, STIs, and Hepatitis Control Programme (NASHCoP) database (2017-2021). A simple random sample of 50,000 patients was drawn from the de-duplicated national dataset, yielding 49,863 patients after data processing. The analytic cohort included 4,044 patients with baseline CD4 and endpoint viral load measurements. Viral load suppression was defined as <1000 copies/mL. Associations between baseline AHD, regimen status, and suppression were assessed using risk ratios and multivariable Poisson regression models, including an interaction term between AHD and DTG. ResultsOverall viral load suppression was 89.2% (3,607/4,044). Patients with baseline AHD had lower suppression than those without AHD (81.3% vs. 91.1%; RR 0.48, 95% CI 0.40-0.57). Suppression was higher among patients receiving DTG-based regimens than among those receiving non-DTG regimens (91.5% vs. 77.2%; RR 2.67, 95% CI 2.23-3.20). In the adjusted analysis, baseline AHD remained associated with reduced suppression (aRR 0.89, 95% CI 0.86-0.92), whereas DTG use was associated with improved suppression (aRR 1.15, 95% CI 1.10-1.20). A significant interaction between AHD and DTG was observed (aRR 1.40, 95% CI 1.20-1.63), indicating that the relative benefit of DTG was greater among patients with baseline AHD. ConclusionsAlthough viral load suppression was high in this Tanzanian routine-care cohort, patients with baseline AHD had poorer outcomes. DTG-based regimens were associated with improved overall suppression, with a greater relative benefit among patients with advanced disease. These findings support the continued prioritization of DTG-based therapy and reinforce the importance of early diagnosis and targeted management of patients with AHD.
Wilson, T.; Walker, J.; Thomas-Chen, R.; Fisher, L. A.
Show abstract
Background: The global burden of dengue infection has rising, yet limited data exists on its impact in the Caribbean. We describe the incidence and associates of acute kidney injury in adults and children with dengue at a teaching hospital in Jamaica. Methods: A single-centre retrospective cohort study of admissions with laboratory confirmed dengue infection at University Hospital of the West Indies, Mona Jamaica between January 2023 to November 2024. AKI was defined using Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes definitions. Patients were included if aged >1year and had at least 2 creatinine values. Clinical, demographic and laboratory data were abstracted by chart review. Summary statistics were used to describe continuous and categorical data, and logistic regression to determine AKI associations. Stratified analysis was performed by age-group (adults-aged [≥] 16, and paediatric-aged <16 years). Results: Analyses included 167 persons, 62% (103) were male, mean age was 26.1{+/-}19.5 years. AKI occurred in 25.8%, 65.1% were KDIGO stage 1. AKI incidence was 30.2% and 18.0% among adults and children respectively. There were 3 in-hospital deaths. People with AKI were older 32{+/-}21.4 vs 24 {+/-}18.4 (p=0.021), and had longer duration of stay [6 vs 4 days (p <0.001)]. Male sex [OR 2.09 (95% CI:0.96-4.59), p=0.064], age per year [OR 1.02 (95% CI:1.01-1.04), p=0.015] symptom duration [OR1.11 (CI 0.99-1.24), p = 0.058], admission bilirubin [OR 1.02 (CI: 1.00-1.04), p = 0.022], NLR [OR 1.09 (CI 1.00-1.18), p = 0.037] were associated with AKI. In adults admission potassium was inversely associated with AKI [OR 0.46 (95% CI 0.21-1.01), p 0.056], while in children admission potassium [OR 3.00 (95% CI 0.88-10.6), p 0.088] was associated with AKI. Conclusion: AKI in dengue hospitalizations is higher than most reports at 25.8%. Targeted public health policy on vector control and early symptom recognition may be needed to improve outcomes.
Matuli, C.; Waeni, J. M.; Gicheru, E. T.; Sande, C. J.; Gallagher, K.
Show abstract
BackgroundTo date, accessible diagnostic tools to identify whether a patients pneumonia is a bacterial, or viral infection, are not accurate or timely enough to prevent preemptive antibiotic administration. Relying on single biomarkers or clinical presentations has been insufficient. We aimed to incorporate a wide range of novel biomarkers and clinical presentations in a multivariable model and validate its capacity to differentiate cases of bacterial and viral pneumonia. MethodsData from 457 children aged 2-59 months, admitted to Kilifi County Referral Hospital, Kenya, with bacterial (n = 229) and viral (n = 228) infections, were used to develop and validate a predictive multivariable Poisson regression model to differentiate pneumonia etiology. The Receiver Operating Characteristic curve was used to assess biomarker performance and validate the model internally. ResultsSixty-three percent (63%) of the children presented with severe pneumonia. 72% with viral pneumonia had severe pneumonia, compared to 54% with bacterial pneumonia who had severe pneumonia. In crude analyses, chest-wall indrawing, cough, convulsions, crackles, angiotensinogen, and Serpin Family A Member 1 were significantly associated with pneumonia etiology, controlling for age. However, only chest-wall indrawing remained significant in multivariable analyses after controlling for age. The model demonstrated fair, but inadequate, discrimination, with an Area Under the Curve of 0.61. ConclusionAmong the children admitted to hospital with WHO defined pneumonia, a wide range of biomarkers and clinical presentations still failed to distinguish bacterial from viral pneumonia.
Cohen, B.; Hanage, W.; Menzies, N. A.; Croke, K.
Show abstract
Justification: Accidental lab-acquired infections (LAIs) with potential pandemic pathogens (PPPs) in high-biosafety research facilities risk causing a pandemic. Routine testing of lab workers for LAIs coupled with isolation of infected workers could reduce the risk, but the impact of such an intervention may depend on pathogens' epidemiological characteristics. Objective: This study aims to understand how the epidemiological characteristics of PPPs moderate the efficacy of a routine testing and isolation intervention in preventing larger outbreaks after an LAI. Methods: We employed a discrete-time stochastic network infectious disease model to run 625,000 epidemic simulations encompassing 625 unique combinations of five parameters of interest: test frequency, pathogen transmissibility, the self-isolation rate for symptomatic cases, the percentage of cases that are asymptomatic, and the percentage of infectious time that is spent in the pre-symptomatic state among those who show symptoms. To summarize the Monte Carlo simulations, we paired visual analysis with logistic regression for formal hypothesis testing, with an emphasis on the interaction terms that capture the moderating effect of epidemiological parameters on the impact of test frequency. Main Results: There were four main findings. First, the relative reductions in risk of outbreak that were caused by increased test frequency were inversely correlated with pathogen transmissibility. Second, the effect of test frequency was magnified at higher asymptomatic shares when the symptomatic self-isolation rate was high, but minimally when the self-isolation rate is low. Third, the direction of how the symptomatic self-isolation rate moderated the effect of increased test frequency depended on the asymptomatic share. Fourth, as the pre-symptomatic share of infectious time increased, the effect of test frequency on the probability of an outbreak was strongly magnified largely independent of symptomatic self-isolation rates. Conclusions: Routine testing and isolation could significantly mitigate the risk of catastrophic PPP escapes, with the intervention's success varying based on pathogen characteristics. High shares of asymptomatic and pre-symptomatic transmission notably increased the relative risk reductions achieved by the intervention. These findings suggest prioritizing testing interventions for pathogens with high asymptomatic and pre-symptomatic transmission and highlight the symptomatic self-isolation rate as a policy intervention target.
Mutagonda, R. F.; Kibanga, W. A.; Mikomangwa, W. P.; Kamuhabwa, A. A.
Show abstract
Background: Advanced HIV disease (AHD) remains a major contributor to HIV-related morbidity and mortality despite widespread antiretroviral therapy (ART) access in sub-Saharan Africa. Although treatment-related adverse drug reactions (ADRs) may compromise treatment outcomes, evidence on the relationship between AHD and ADR occurrence remains limited. This study aimed to determine the prevalence and identify factors associated with AHD, characterize treatment-related ADR and assess the association between AHD and ADR occurrence among people living with HIV receiving ART in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. Methods: We conducted a multicenter cross-sectional study among 1,513 people living with HIV receiving ART at selected HIV care and treatment clinics in Dar es Salaam, TanzaniaFor this adolescent/adult cohort, AHD was operationally defined as WHO clinical stage III/IV disease and/or baseline CD4 count <200 cells/mm3. Treatment-related ADRs were defined as participant-reported and/or clinically documented ART-related adverse events identified during routine HIV care, including both current and retrospectively reported events. Modified Poisson regression with robust standard errors was used to estimate crude and adjusted risk ratios (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results: Among 1,508 participants with sufficient information for classification, 961 (63.7%) had AHD. Factors independently associated with AHD included age [≥]50 years (aRR 1.10, 95% CI 1.01-1.20), underweight nutritional status (aRR 1.17, 95% CI 1.00-1.35), and concomitant medication use (aRR 1.19, 95% CI 1.03-1.37), while DTG-based ART was associated with lower AHD prevalence (aRR 0.78, 95% CI 0.68-0.90). Overall, 569 participants (38.0%) reported at least one ADR. Composite AHD was not independently associated with ADR occurrence (aRR 0.95, 95% CI 0.82-1.11), but baseline CD4 <200 cells/mm3 was associated with increased ADR risk (aRR 1.20, 95% CI 1.02-1.41). Comorbidity (aRR 1.66, 95% CI 1.42-1.93) was the strongest correlate of ADR occurrence. Conclusion: AHD remains highly prevalent among people living with HIV receiving ART in Tanzania. While composite AHD was not independently associated with ADR occurrence, severe immunosuppression, comorbidity burden, and concomitant medication exposure were associated with increased ADR risk. These findings suggest that immunologic severity and broader clinical complexity may be more informative predictors of ART-related toxicity than composite syndromic AHD classification alone. Strengthened early diagnosis, differentiated advanced HIV care, integrated pharmacovigilance strategies, and routine medication risk assessment are needed.
Saluja, T.; Telele, N. F.; Hellstrom, E.; Mitha, E.; Nchabeleng, M.; Baiden, R.; D'Cor, N. A.; Vemula, S.; Park, J. Y.; Yang, L.; Lee, J.; Kim, D. R.; Park, S.; Aspinall, S.; Pan, H.; Shih, J. W.-K.; Lynch, J.
Show abstract
BackgroundHepatitis E virus (HEV) seroprevalence varies by age and geography. Data on HEV seroprevalence across age groups and among people living with HIV (PLWH) in South Africa is scarce. MethodsWe conducted a prospective multi-site assessment of anti-HEV IgG seroprevalence on 859 South African participants enrolled at three clinical research centres including Newtown Clinical Research Centre in Johannesburg, Be Part Research in Mbekweni, Paarl, Western Cape, and Mecru Clinical Research Unit in Garankuwa, Pretoria. Participants comprised adults aged 18 - 45 years (PLWH, n = 178 and HIV-negative, n = 232), and children aged 2-17 years (n = 449). Anti-HEV IgG serostatus and antibody titer were measured using a commercial ELISA kit and a WHO reference standard. Seroprevalence was assessed by site, age group, sex, and HIV status. ResultsOverall anti-HEV IgG seroprevalence was 18.0% (95% CI: 15.6-20.8). Adults had the highest seroprevalence (27.3% among all adults; 29.2% among PLWH and 25.9% in HIV-negative adults), while adolescents aged 12-17 years had the lowest (6.9%), and young children aged 6-11 years and 2-5 years had 10.3% and 13.0%, respectively. Adults had significantly higher odds of seropositivity than children (aOR 2.8, 95% CI: 1.5-5.5, p = 0.002). A significant site-specific variation was also observed among healthy adults and adolescents: Newtown Clinical Research Centre (23.0% and 14.0%) and Be Part Research (34.5% and 7.3%) had higher seroprevalence compared with those from Mecru Clinical Research Unit (17.2% and 1.5%, p = 0.0499 and 0.0262, respectively). A higher mean antibody titer observed in younger children aged 2-5 years (5.06 IU/mL), compared with adults (0.88 IU/mL among PLWH and 0.68 IU/mL among HIV-negative adults), and with older children (2.02 IU/mL in those aged 6-11 years and 0.67 IU/mL in those aged 12-17 years). ConclusionsHEV seroprevalence in South Africa was highly heterogeneous, varying markedly by age group and study site. These findings highlight the need for strengthened, integrated HEV surveillance to better define transmission patterns and to inform evidence-based considerations for prevention of infection.
Danasekara, S.; Jeewandara, C.; Jayamali, J.; Ramu, S. T.; Gomes, L.; Peranantharajah, D.; Colambage, H. S.; Karunananda, M. V.; Chathurangika, P. H.; Aberathna, S.; Ranasinghe, T.; Dissanayake, M.; Kuruppu, H.; Perera, L.; Jayadas, T.; Bary, F.; Ranatunga, C.; Guruge, D.; Prathapan, S.; Rathnawardana, G.; Nawaratne, S.; Liyanage, E.; Senathilaka, N.; Wickramanayake, R.; Warnakulasuriya, N.; Madusanka, S.; Dissanayake, C.; Yatiwella, S.; Wijayamuni, R.; Malavige, G. N.
Show abstract
Introduction: Following a large chikungunya outbreak during 2006 to 2008, Sri Lanka did not report any outbreaks for a 16 year period until end of 2008, possibly due to population immunity. Therefore, understanding baseline immunity prior to outbreaks is crucial to inform implementation of vaccine strategies. Methods: We assessed the age stratified seroprevalence for chikungunya in an urban (n=816) and a semi urban (n=380) community in Colombo, Sri Lanka, from September to November 2024, prior to the commencement of the large chikungunya outbreak, in December 2024. Sociodemographic, socioeconomic and clinical data were collected and chikungunya specific IgG measured in serum samples. Results: Of 1196 participants, 410 (34.3%) were chikungunya IgG seropositive. Seroprevalence was significantly higher in urban populations compared with semi urban populations (39.6% vs 22.9%; p<0.001) and increased significantly with age in urban areas but not in semi-urban areas. Living in an urban area was the strongest independent risk factor of chikungunya seropositivity (aOR 7.48, 95% CI 4.05 to 13.81; p<0.001), consistent with the higher population density, poor housing conditions and overcrowding observed in that setting. The use of mosquito nets was independently associated with reduced risk of seropositivity (aOR 0.50, 95% CI 0.27 to 0.93; p=0.029). Almost no individuals aged <16 years had evidence of prior infection (0.55%), indicating minimal transmission in the preceding 16 years. In the urban cohort, seropositivity was significantly associated with diabetes, central obesity, overweight, and hypertension. Conclusions: There appears to have been minimal chikungunya transmission in the 16 years preceding the 2024 outbreak, with a large population susceptible to chikungunya. Higher seroprevalence in urban populations highlights the role of population density, overcrowding, and housing conditions as key drivers of transmission.
Babirye, J. A.; Bwanga, F.; Nakalega, R.; Mawanda, D.; Kugonza, C. D.; Namiiro, S. M.; Nakiganda, M.; Semitala, F.; Byakika-Kibwika, P.
Show abstract
Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus (MRS) infections are a significant public health concern. Anterior nares serve as a major reservoir and source of spread of MRS ssp. People living with HIV (PLWHIV) tend to be at higher risk of colonisation with MRS organisms due to frequent healthcare exposure. We assessed the prevalence of MRS nasal carriage and associated factors among PLWHIV at the HIV clinic of Kiruddu National Referral Hospital, Kampala, Uganda, from May to July 2024. Nasal swabs from 256 PLWHIV were cultured, and microbiological isolation was performed at MBN Clinical Laboratories. Prevalence was calculated as proportions, and logistic regression identified associations with clinical and socio-demographic factors (p < 0.05). Of 256 participants, 163 (63.7%) carried Staphylococcus, with 82 (32%) identified as MRS carriers (8.9% MRSA, 23% MRCoNS). Frequent hospital visits ([≥]3) (adjusted incidence risk ratio [A-IRR] = 1.18 x 107, p < 0.001), second-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) (A-IRR = 3.82, p = 0.041), and unsuppressed viral load (>1000 copies/mL) (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 11.3, 95% CI: 2.11-60.58, p = 0.005) were significantly associated with MRS carriage. Mask-wearing was protective against MRCoNS (A-IRR = 1.66, 95% CI: 1.06-2.58, p = 0.026). MRS isolates exhibited high resistance to erythromycin (81.7%) and trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole (79.3%), but susceptibility to linezolid (93.9%). MRS nasal carriage is prevalent among PLWHIV. Individuals with frequent health care contact and those on second-line ART regimens are more susceptible to MRS colonization, while individuals who wear face masks and those with an undetectable HIV viral load are less susceptible. Antimicrobial Resistance (AMR) surveillance within HIV programs, enhanced infection control, ART adherence, and targeted screening for high-risk groups are critical to mitigate colonization.
Masegese, T.; MUNG'ONG'O, G. S.; Kamala, B.; Anaeli, A.; Bago, M.; Mtoro, M. J.
Show abstract
BackgroundHIV/AIDS remains a major public health challenge in Tanzania, where viral load suppression among adults on ART stands at 78% and HVL testing uptake among eligible patients is approximately 22%. Since the introduction of the National HVL Testing Guideline in 2015, little has been done to systematically evaluate its implementation. ObjectiveTo evaluate adherence to the National HVL Testing Guideline across CTC clinics in Dar es Salaam Region, covering ART monitoring, documentation, turnaround time, and factors affecting implementation. MethodsA cross-sectional study was conducted in 2021 across 15 public health facilities with CTC clinics in all five Dar es Salaam districts. A total of 330 PLHIV on ART for more than six months were selected through systematic random sampling with proportional to size allocation, and 45 healthcare providers through convenient sampling. Data were collected via abstraction forms and self-administered questionnaires, and analysed using SPSS Version 23 with descriptive statistics, bivariate analysis, and binary logistic regression. ResultsOnly 25.1% of patients had their first HVL sample taken at six months as per guideline, with 68.8% delayed beyond six months. Second and third samples were similarly delayed. MoHCDGEC sample tracking forms were absent in 96.7% of facilities and incomplete in 99.1%, and no facility captured specimen acceptance or rejection as site feedback. Turnaround time exceeded the 14-day guideline threshold in 64.5%, 66.7%, and 69.4% of first, second, and third results respectively. Patient negligence (AOR=9.84; 95% CI: 1.83-52.77) and storage (AOR=5.72; 95% CI: 0.94-35.0) were independently associated with guideline adherence. ConclusionAdherence to the National HVL Testing Guideline in Dar es Salaam is suboptimal across testing timelines, documentation, and turnaround time, with patient negligence and storage capacity as significant determinants. Targeted interventions are needed to strengthen patient education, improve storage infrastructure, enhance documentation systems, and support providers in adhering to guideline-specified timelines.
Feng, X.; Ginjupalli, R.; Lukhorito, J.; Karanja, D.; Mounir, M.; Nderitu, M.; Masinde, M.; Siminski, S.; Mao, L.; Sahasrabuddhe, V. V.; Diwan, N. M.; Chung, M. H.
Show abstract
Background: Cervical cancer remains a major public health challenge among women living with HIV (WLWH) in sub-Saharan Africa, where screening coverage remains suboptimal despite opportunities for integration within HIV care programs. Visual inspection with acetic acid (VIA) has been widely used as a low-cost screening approach in resource-limited settings. Methods: This cross-sectional analysis utilized prospectively collected data from Project CN001 at the Coptic Hope Center for Infectious Diseases in Nairobi, Kenya, a CASCADE Clinical Trials Network site. WLWH aged 25-49 years receiving routine HIV care and undergoing VIA screening between March 11, 2025, and January 16, 2026, were included. Data from the REDCap and Kenya's electronic medical record system (KenyaEMR) captured sociodemographic characteristics, HIV clinical factors, VIA results, and cervical transformation zone (TZ) classification. Results: Among 857 WLWH screened with VIA, the median age was 40 years (interquartile ranges [IQR]: 34-45), and 77.2% reported a prior history of cervical cancer screening. VIA positivity was 7.4% (63/857) and was higher in women with TZ1/TZ2 than in those with TZ3. VIA positivity was also associated with higher HIV viral load, shorter time since HIV diagnosis, no cervical screening history, and younger age at screening. The proportion of women classified as TZ3 increased with age, from 39.5% among women aged 25-29 years to 67.7% among those aged 45-49 years, while the proportion classified as TZ1 decreased with increasing age. Conclusion: Integrated screening at this urban U.S. President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) and CASCADE-supported HIV clinic demonstrates the feasibility of integrated cervical cancer screening programs for WLWH. Age-related TZ3 predominance and VIA limitations for older women highlight the need for refined screening strategies and continued electronic platform utilization for program monitoring to support cervical cancer elimination targets.
Pongpirul, W.; Ahmed, M. M.; Pongpirul, K.
Show abstract
Introduction: Dengue, chikungunya, and hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) are priority notifiable infections in Thailand. Whether vector-borne and contact-mediated diseases responded differently to the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic has not been quantified within a unified national surveillance framework over an extended period. Methods: We conducted an ecological interrupted time-series analysis using weekly province-level notifiable disease surveillance data from epidemiological week 1 of 2016 to week 53 of 2025 across all 77 Thai provinces. Incidence per 100,000 population was calculated using year-specific civil registration population denominators. Segmented quasi-Poisson regression with two Fourier harmonics for annual seasonality was fitted, with the primary pandemic onset defined as week 1 of 2020 and two alternative onset definitions prespecified for sensitivity analysis. Results: The analysis included 40,579 province-week observations across 527 epidemiological weeks, comprising 790,263 dengue, 32,265 chikungunya, and 713,822 HFMD cases nationally. Immediate incidence rate ratios at pandemic onset were 0.39, 0.54, and 0.51 for dengue, chikungunya, and HFMD, respectively. Sustained post-onset trends diverged across diseases, with declining trajectories for the two vector-borne infections and a positive post-onset slope for hand, foot, and mouth disease. Dengue rebounded above pre-pandemic levels by 2023, chikungunya remained quiescent through 2025, and HFMD exceeded its pre-pandemic baseline by approximately 26%. Conclusion: Vector-borne and contact-mediated diseases in Thailand followed sharply contrasting decadal trajectories that tracked the transmission ecologies of each pathogen. These findings support transmission-mode-specific pandemic-resilient surveillance, accelerated arboviral and enteroviral vaccine deployment, and integrated vector management.
Danon, L.; Brooks-Pollock, E.
Show abstract
Background Social contact surveys, which measure who-contacts-whom, are widely used to inform infectious disease transmission models and estimate the reproduction number (R), a key metric for assessing epidemic risk. Despite their widespread use, sample size calculations are not routinely performed. Aims To assess the impact of sample size on estimates of R and determine a practical target sample size for social contact surveys used in epidemic modelling. Methods We conducted a review of social contact surveys (2008-2025) to characterise current practice. We characterised the impact of survey size on epidemic metrics using two social contact surveys, the UK Social Contact Survey and POLYMOD (Europe) and two methods. For each dataset and approach, we generated repeated subsamples and calculated the resulting reproduction numbers, characterised their distributions and measured uncertainty. Results We identified 107 unique social contact surveys from 57 studies. Sample sizes ranged from 30 to more than 10,000 participants, with a median of 1,438. One quarter of surveys contained fewer than 1,000 participants. From our simulations, we find that sample sizes below 200 individuals can result in highly variability reproduction numbers. Increasing sample size increases precision, and the most meaningful gains are up to 1,300 individuals. Increasing sample sizes over 3,000 individuals leads to smaller gains. Conclusions A minimum sample size of approximately 1,200-1,300 participants appears sufficient for general-purpose use. These findings support the inclusion of sample size considerations in the design, reporting and interpretation of social contact surveys used for epidemic intelligence and public health decision-making.
Cheuyem, F. Z. L.; Touko, A. D.; Achangwa, C.; Tchamani, R.; Ambo, E. E.; Noah, B. L. T. B.; Asahngwa, C. T.
Show abstract
BackgroundHuman papillomavirus (HPV) infection is a major public health concern in Cameroon, where cervical cancer remains the second leading cause of cancer-related morbidity and mortality among women. Despite the availability of effective preventive measures, their uptake remains suboptimal and is influenced by population-level knowledge and awareness. This study aimed to synthesize existing evidence on HPV-related knowledge and its associated factors in Cameroon. MethodsThis review included studies assessing knowledge of HPV as a sexually transmitted infection (STI), its causal role in cervical cancer, and overall good HPV knowledge. A comprehensive and systematic search was conducted across PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, Embase, the Cochrane Library, and local online databases. Study quality was appraised using the Joanna Briggs Institute critical appraisal tool. Pooled prevalence estimates were calculated using random-effects models (DerSimonian and Laird). Heterogeneity was assessed using the I{superscript 2} statistic and explored through subgroup analyses. ResultsA total of 32 studies involving 13,{square}457 participants were included. The pooled prevalence of overall good HPV knowledge was 27.4% (95% CI: 7.6-63.2; 7 studies; n = 3,312), with considerable heterogeneity (I{superscript 2} = 99.3%). Knowledge of HPV as a cause of cervical cancer was 27.9% (95% CI: 15.8-44.4; 26 studies; n = 8,688), while knowledge of HPV as an STI was 47.1% (95% CI: 31.4-63.5; 18 studies; n = 9,040). Healthcare workers demonstrated the highest levels of knowledge (80.2% for HPV as an STI; 78.7% for HPV as a cause of cervical cancer), whereas students (43.4% and 10.2%, respectively) and women from the general population (30.6% and 19.9%, respectively) showed substantially lower levels. Factors associated with poor knowledge included Christian affiliation (OR = 1.46; 95% CI: 0.08-26.06) and secondary level education (OR = 1.32; 95% CI: 0.66-2.63), although these associations were non-significant. ConclusionsThis study reveals that, HPV-related knowledge in Cameroon remains low, particularly regarding the causal link between HPV and cervical cancer. These findings highlight the urgent need for targeted, context-specific educational interventions and strengthened public health strategies to improve awareness and uptake of HPV prevention measures. Systematic review registrationPROSPERO CRD420261283152.
Johnson, L. F.; Kubjane, M.; Imai-Eaton, J. W.; Brown, L.; Jamieson, l.; Naidoo, P.; Tanna, G.; Meyer-Rath, G.
Show abstract
BackgroundThe WHO End TB strategy targets 80% and 90% reductions in TB incidence and mortality, respectively, between 2015 and 2030. ObjectiveWe assess which epidemiologic factors, including existing and new interventions, are most critical to reducing future TB in South Africa. MethodsWe adapted an existing mathematical model of TB and HIV in South Africa. Prior distributions were specified to represent uncertainty ranges for 27 model parameters that are highly uncertain and potentially important in driving future TB dynamics. Latin Hypercube Sampling was used to sample 1000 parameter combinations from these distributions, and the model was projected to 2040 for each. Partial rank correlation coefficients (PRCCs) were calculated to assess correlation between each parameter and average adult TB incidence and mortality rates over 2025-2040. ResultsAdult TB incidence and mortality rates in South Africa are projected to decline by 46% (95% CI: 17-69%) and 54% (95% CI: 21-84%) respectively by 2030, relative to 2015. The parameters most strongly associated with future TB incidence are the increase in microbiological testing in symptomatic individuals due to near-point-of-care/tongue swab (NPOC/TS) testing (PRCC=-0.67), reductions in social contact rates post-COVID (PRCC=-0.61), the probability of sputum testing in symptomatic individuals in the absence of NPOC/TS testing (PRCC=-0.39), and the efficacy of TB preventive therapy (PRCC=-0.35). TB mortality predictors are similar. ConclusionsIncreasing testing among people with TB symptoms, including through new NPOC/TS technologies, is likely to have the largest impact on progress towards End TB goals in South Africa, though attainment by 2030 is unlikely.